Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.221526 0.250194 0.280591 0.315160 0.353324 0.394106 0.440919
2025-08-03 0.185945 0.225077 0.268998 0.321733 0.383109 0.452054 0.535119
2025-08-10 0.161685 0.207776 0.262087 0.330344 0.413331 0.510423 0.632036
2025-08-17 0.138287 0.187770 0.248725 0.328543 0.429420 0.551722 0.710148
2025-08-24 0.120485 0.172080 0.238261 0.328179 0.445797 0.592921 0.789145
2025-08-31 0.105837 0.158478 0.228581 0.327108 0.460070 0.631115 0.865243
2025-09-07 0.096368 0.150622 0.225358 0.333612 0.483775 0.681741 0.958885
2025-09-14 0.086381 0.140795 0.218249 0.333742 0.498200 0.720086 1.037343
2025-09-21 0.077916 0.132189 0.211890 0.334016 0.512221 0.757857 1.115945
2025-09-28 0.070636 0.124547 0.206109 0.334359 0.525842 0.795102 1.194744
2025-10-05 0.065416 0.119555 0.203750 0.339313 0.545985 0.841895 1.288241
2025-10-12 0.061646 0.116495 0.204000 0.347996 0.571752 0.897414 1.395851
2025-10-19 0.056644 0.111038 0.200263 0.350591 0.589017 0.942149 1.491061
2025-10-26 0.053059 0.107652 0.199564 0.357834 0.613633 0.998602 1.605496
2025-11-02 0.050209 0.105271 0.200282 0.367289 0.642008 1.061647 1.731886
2025-11-09 0.045680 0.099314 0.194400 0.365328 0.651919 1.096763 1.817274
2025-11-16 0.041874 0.094301 0.189709 0.364936 0.664119 1.135605 1.909394
2025-11-23 0.038338 0.089421 0.184819 0.363766 0.674772 1.172161 1.998936
2025-11-30 0.036278 0.087281 0.184720 0.370892 0.699474 1.231697 2.126124
2025-12-07 0.033492 0.083329 0.180901 0.371035 0.712152 1.272165 2.224235
2025-12-14 0.030979 0.079677 0.177337 0.371337 0.724958 1.313093 2.324147
2025-12-21 0.028699 0.076274 0.173966 0.371712 0.737770 1.354290 2.425555
2025-12-28 0.027141 0.074328 0.173326 0.377137 0.759683 1.411249 2.554258